Measuring Livelihood Resilience: The Household Livelihood Resilience Approach

An Outgrowth of CSTPR’s Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre (RCRCCC) internship program. Amy Quandt was a 2013 RCRCCC intern in Isiolo, Kenya.

World Developement
Volume 107, July 2018, Pages 253–263
by Amy Quandt

Abstact: The concept of resilience, and livelihood resilience more specifically, is growing in prominence with international development and humanitarian organizations that aim to measure and build resilience to specific disturbances such as floods or droughts. However, measuring livelihood resilience is a difficult task, and practical methods to measure livelihood resilience, as well as analyze and visualize the data are needed. In this paper, I introduce the Household Livelihood Resilience Approach (HLRA), which draws from the sustainable livelihoods approach and it’s five capital assets to measure resilience. However, unlike other approaches that use the five capital assets such as utilized by Zurich Insurance Group, Ltd and the IFRC, the HLRA goes farther to help visualize the results and identify specific actions to build resilience. This paper illustrates the effectiveness of the HLRA through an empirical case study where this approach was used to measure livelihood resilience in Isiolo County, Kenya, and the effectiveness of agroforestry in building livelihood resilience for agricultural households. Drawing from this case study, I suggest five ways that the HLRA improves upon previous frameworks, including 1) providing practical methods and tools, not just a theoretical framework, 2) integrating ‘subjective’ measures of livelihood resilience, 3) focusing on the household-scale instead of community-scale or larger, 4) providing methods to analyze, visualize, and interpret results of livelihood resilience measures, and 5) highlighting the importance of human agency, power, and access to assets. The HLRA has the potential to help organizations identify specific interventions that could help build livelihood resilience for the most vulnerable groups of people within a community. Read more …

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CSTPR’s Fulbright Visiting Scholar: Anna Kukkonen

by Abigail Ahlert, CSTPR Science Writing Intern

Last semester, Anna Kukkonen had a quintessential “Boulder” experience. A friendly man waiting next to her at a bus stop asked what she worked on. When she explained her research on climate change debates in the media, the man mentioned that he was a part of the Shanahan Ridge Neighbors for Climate Action—a South Boulder group that discusses local sustainability issues—and invited her to join. She was delighted by the coincidence. Boulder is a hub for those interested in the environment, and as a Fulbright visiting scholar at University of Colorado’s Center for Science and Technology Policy (CSTPR), Kukkonen is truly finding opportunities around every corner.

Kukkonen is a PhD student in Sociology at the University of Helsinki, and applied for a Fulbright grant with CU’s high ranking environmental policy program in mind. She anticipated that visiting CU would provide many opportunities for collaboration, particularly since her research is well-aligned with that of Dr. Max Boykoff, Director of CSTPR. In 2017, Kukkonen and her co-authors published a paper applying the Advocacy Coalition Framework (ACF) theory to U.S. media coverage of climate change from 2007-2008. According to Kukkonen, “The general beliefs concerning the reality of anthropogenic climate change, the importance of ecology over economy and desirability of governmental regulation divide organizations into three advocacy coalitions: the economy, ecology and science coalitions”. Specific beliefs concerning policy instruments such as cap and trade and alternative energy do not. She found that the ACF theory could be clarified to better account for how beliefs contribute to coalition formation in specific points in time and policy domains.

During her time in Boulder, Kukkonen is working on multiple projects involving climate change politics. First, she is comparing media discussions of climate change in the United States, Canada, Brazil, India and Finland. Kukkonen works with researchers from these countries and others in the Comparing Climate Change Policy Networks (COMPON) project. She finds writing with international colleagues to be very rewarding and acknowledges that the writing process is the most challenging part of her work. “You really grow as a person when you do this kind of stuff, and you learn to take critique,” she says. Additionally, Kukkonen is studying the roles of different types of policy actors (such as non-profit organizations, universities and businesses) and the moral justifications they use in the Finnish and Canadian media debates on Arctic climate change.

When she isn’t working on her PhD research, Kukkonen attends classes offered by CU’s Environmental Studies Program, where she has learned more about the interactions between science and policy. To her surprise, many of her classmates are natural scientists. “It has been very enlightening how differently we think,” she says. “They have their own conception of what social science is and that has been very interesting.” Discussions with her classmates have challenged her to describe her work and its use to researchers outside of her field, and this has given her greater confidence in her role as a social scientist.

Kukkonen also appreciates how many scientists at the University of Colorado prioritize communicating their results with the public. “This is another reason why I came to CSTPR, because here I think they focus a lot on how researchers can communicate their research to the general audience. I notice that people in the US like to talk about their research in a way that people who are not experts in that field can understand it,” she says. In May, Kukkonen will return to Finland to complete her PhD. She is excited about the direction her research has taken at CSTPR and hopes to continue studying climate change after graduate school. “Now I find purpose in my research better than before I came here,” she says. “I feel more motivated after this experience because I’ve had to think about my research in a more practical way.”

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Geoengineering the Climate

KGNU’s How on Earth
April 3, 2018

Hacking the Planet (start time: 10:24):
It’s tough to wrap one’s mind around just how monumental and consequential the problem of climate change is. So dire that scientist and engineers for years have been exploring ways to “hack” the planet–to manipulate the global climate system enough to significantly reduce planet-warming gases or increase the Earth’s ability to reflect solar radiation. This audacious scheme, called geoengineering, only exists because many scientists think that human behavioral change, industry regulations, international treaties and national legislation, have not done enough — can not do enough – to keep us from careening toward climate catastrophe.

Guests today have given this huge challenge a lot of thought and some research. Dr. Lisa Dilling is an associate professor of Environmental Studies at CU Boulder and a fellow at the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, or CIRESDr. David Fahey is a physicist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, or NOAA.  He directs the Chemical Sciences Division at NOAA’s Earth System Research Lab in Boulder.

Some relevant materials on geoengineering:

  • 2017 study on public perception of climate change;
  • 2015 National Research Council committee evaluation of proposed climate-intervention tchniques.

Hosts: Susan Moran, Joel Parker
Producer: Susan Moran
Engineer: Joel Parker
Contributor: Chip Grandits
Executive Producer: Susan Moran

Listen to the show here

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MeCCO Monthly Summary: Media Coverage of Climate Change Up 20%

Media and Climate Change Observatory (MeCCO)
March 2018 Summary

March media attention to climate change and global warming was up 20% throughout the world from the previous month of February 2018. Coverage in Asia was up 44%, Europe increased 17%, Oceania went up 17%, and North America was up 23%. Central/South America dropped 10%, while coverage in Africa decreased 31%. In the Middle East, numbers remained relatively on par with February 2018 counts. Global numbers were about a third though of those (66% less) from counts a year ago (March 2017) when a great deal of global media attention was focused on US President Donald J. Trump’s plans to dismantle former US President Barack Obama’s Climate Action Plan along with high winter temperatures in northern locations like the Arctic circle.

Figure 1 above shows these ebbs and flows in media coverage at the global scale – organized into seven geographical regions around the world – from January 2004 through March 2018.

At the country level in March 2018, coverage went down compared to February only in Germany (-29%). It was up in all other countries monitored: the United Kingdom (UK) (+17%), Canada (+7%), Australia (+4%), India (+59%), Spain (+26%), New Zealand (+42%) and the United States (+30%). Through MeCCO’s monitoring of six world radio sources (Figure 2 below), we can see that coverage has gone up from the previous month by 44%. Coverage in March 2018 compared to a year ago though (March 2017) was down 34%.

Moving to considerations of content of climate change or global warming coverage in March 2018, Figure 3 below shows word frequency data at the country levels in global newspapers and radio, juxtaposed with US newspapers and US television in March 2018. It is notable that the US-based media sources showed continuing yet diminishing signs of ‘Trump Dump’ (where media attention that would have focused on other climate-related events and issues instead was placed on Trump-related actions (leaving many other stories untold)). And as in previous months, content in media reporting outside the US context shows that this pattern of news reporting continues to be limited to the US. To illustrate, March 2018 news articles related to climate change or global warming in the US invoked ‘Trump’ 2139 times through the 354 stories this month (a ratio of 6 times per article on average) in The Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalThe New York TimesUSA Today, and the Los Angeles Times. In US television sources of ABCCBSCNNFox News NetworkMSNBC, and NBC, Trump was mentioned 1873 times in 72 news segments (a whopping 26 mentions per segment). In contrast, in the UK press, Trump was mentioned in the Daily Mail & Mail on SundayGuardian & the Observer, the Sun, the Daily Telegraph & Sunday Telegraph, the Daily Mirror & Sunday Mirror, the Scotsman & Scotland on Sunday, and the Times & Sunday Times 595 times in 522 March articles (approximately 1.1 mentions per article on average).

As has been noted in previous MeCCO summaries, however, these current trends can quickly change if the Trump Administration again focuses attention on climate change or global warming in the months to come.

Many media accounts in March focused on primarily political content associated with climate change and global warming. For example, at the start of March, it was revealed through leaked emails to The New York Times that the location and accessibility of oil and natural gas drove decision-making by the Trump Administration to open up Bears Ears National Monument in southeastern Utah. In email exchanges with the US Department of Energy, top US elected officials like Utah Republican Senator Orrin Hatch is credited with pushing for the shrinking of the protected space by 85% in order to help resolve commercial mineral rights disputes (specifically coal deposits in the Kaiparowits plateau). As another example, journalists William Boston and Max Bernhard from The Wall Street Journal reported that the German automakers Volkswagen (who had been previously found guilty in an emissions test cheating scandal) announced plans to produce up to 3 million electric vehicles each year through 2025. And in later March, journalist Chris Mooney from The Washington Post ran one of many stories in media outlets around the globe of a conscious re-coupling of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and GDP. Departing from a trend in the last three years of flat CO2 emissions amid growing economies, a released International Energy Agency report announced a 1.4% CO2 increase in 2017, saying “if the world wants to cut emissions quickly and meet climate goals laid out in the Paris climate agreement, clean energy needs to grow about five times faster each year between now and 2040” As a final example of political content in March, the Financial Times reported on new plans afoot in Saudi Arabia (by a Japanese investment company called SoftBank) to build what would become the world’s largest solar-power-generation-project, bringing along approximately 100,000 clean energy jobs to the Middle East.

Meanwhile in March, coverage relating primarily to the cultural dimensions continued to draw attention. To illustrate, journalist Fiona Harvey wrote in The Guardian about a new World Bank report that forecasts as many as 143 million displaced people by 2050 (mainly from South Asia, Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa) due to the impacts of climate change. On the consumption side of the equation, journalist Zlati Meyer from USA Today reported on a mid-March announcement from global food chain McDonald’s that they would be cutting their CO2 emissions from their supply chain (e.g. beef production practices) by approximately 31% by 2030.

Media stories also intersected with ecological and meteorological issues across the globe in March 2018. For example, the multiple winter storms that hit the Northeastern US (called ‘Nor’easters’) garnered media attention. For example, Christopher Joyce from US National Public Radio reported on flooding dimensions of these storms becoming a new normal in future years, according to research from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Joyce quoted NOAA’s Dr. William Sweetwho said, “The numbers are staggering… The problem is going to become chronic rather quickly. It’s not going to be a slow, gradual change”.

Attention was also paid to scientific dimensions of climate change and global warming. For instance, journalist Jonathan Watts from The Guardian covered a new report from the United Nations-sponsored Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. It stated that the world’s biodiversity has been shrinking at an alarming rate, and human activities like climate change are responsible. The report outlined stark predictions such as Africa losing half of bird and mammal species by 2100, Asia losing all of its commercial fishing by mid-century, and a 15% reduction in plant and animal species in the Americas by 2050. Also, journalists Kendra Pierre-Louis, Nadja Popvich and Adam Piece at The New York Times reported on satellite measurements from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) (a center within the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences where MeCCO is also housed) showed the second-lowest annual Arctic ice cover maximum ever recorded. NSIDC Director Mark Serreze lamented, “it’s a case where we hate to say we told you so, but we told you so…we’ve probably known for 100 years that as the climate warms up in response to loading the atmosphere with greenhouse gases, we would see the changes first in the Arctic”.

As spring melt leads into summer heat in 2018, MeCCO will continue to track the ebbs and flows of climate change or global warming coverage in 74 media sources (newspapers, radio and TV) in 38 countries in seven different regions around the world.

– report prepared by Max Boykoff, Jennifer Katzung and Ami Nacu-Schmidt

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Attack on Patagonia Latest in Long Running Campaign Against Oil Critics

Houston Chronicle
March 28, 2018

by James Osborne

Social media feeds on Tuesday morning sported links to an article listing the “Nine Reasons Why Patagonia Secretly Loves Fracking,” and memes including a picture of empty shelves with the caption, “Patagonia introduces new petroleum-free product line.”

The online campaign against the outdoor gear manufacturer was the work of a group called Texans for Natural Gas, a “grassroots” organization funded by oil and gas companies including EnerVest, EOG Resources and XTO Energy, a division of Exxon Mobil, which said in a press release it was taking issue with Patagonia’s “hypocritical” opposition to fracking.

As the fight over fracking and climate change has ramped up in recent years, oil and gas companies are engaged in increasingly creative public relations campaigns to convince the American public that transitioning away from petroleum products represents a foolish and calamitous mistake.

If the articles blasted out across the Internet on Tuesday morning all sounded a little ridiculous, that was exactly the point, says Steve Everley, the oil and gas consultant who serves as a spokesman for Texans for Natural Gas.

“There’s a broader conversation now with a company like Patagonia that uses petroleum products and then plants their principled flag in the ground,” he said. “This is intended to be funny and a little cheesy, and help people laugh a little. Everything these days seems to be the sky is falling, but every single day the sky is still there.”

Patagonia executives declined comment on the effort.

How the California-based company ended up the target of an oil industry-backed attack campaign traces back to Patagonia’s longtime criticism of the hydraulic fracturing boom. In 2013 then CEO Casey Sheahan wrote to California legislators, “We believe the damage caused by this process to human health and to the environment, especially the air, soil and water quality, will have consequences that can’t be undone for centuries.”

The tense relationship with the oil industry only intensified in December when Patagonia sued the U.S. government to block President Donald Trump from reducing the size of the Bears Ears and Grand Staircase-Escalante national monuments.

The homepage of the company’s website that day read, “The President stole your land.”

Attacking climate scientists

Now environmentalists see the attack against Patagonia as an effort to sow confusion while discrediting a well-known and well-financed critic of the Trump administration’s environmental policies — Patagonia founder Yvon Chouinard’s net worth was pegged at $1 billion by Forbes last year.

Climate scientists like Michael Mann of Penn State University and Katharine Hayhoe of Texas Texas University have been the subject of similar attacks.

Naomi Oreskes, a professor at Harvard University who co-wrote “Merchants of Doubt” about the oil industry’s efforts to undermine climate science, said the attack against Patagonia reflected the latest in a long running campaign by some corners of the oil and gas industry to slow the movement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

“They recycle different arguments based on what they think will work in any given moment,” she said. “They say were all hypocrites because we drive a car. … Look, we’re in a system and all of us are part of it. That’s why we’re trying to change the system.”

In recent years, the oil and gas industry, which was long famous for maintaining a steely silence in the public sphere, has become increasingly visible.

Last year, the American Petroleum Institute, the industry’s largest lobbying organization, ran an ad during the Super Bowl with images of products from makeup to artificial limbs, telling viewers, “This ain’t your daddy’s oil.”

Everley said he, along with an Austin public relations firm, launched the website FrackFeed.com — where the Patagonia article posted Tuesday — in 2015 as a way to reach out to millennials who weren’t reading the industry’s policy papers.

“It was designed to reach a younger audience through memes and listicles,” he said. “There was a legitimate concern what the industry was putting out was not reaching younger people.”

Gaining followers

So far they seem to be having some success. Facebook shows Texans for Natural Gas having more than 250,000 followers, while FrackFeed counts over 130,000 followers.

At the same time, a recent study by the University of Colorado and Yale University found that climate change denial groups, many linked to the oil and gas industry, were getting increasing coverage in print and television news.

“These front groups are getting a little more engaged in the public conversations and media attention is picking up on them,” said Max Boykoff, director of the Center for Science and Technology Policy Research at the University of Colorado. “It is less clear why that is the case.”

In recent years, some oil companies, like BP and Shell, have become increasingly vocal about the need to shift away from oil to avoid the worst impacts of climate change, predicting oil demand could peak within a matter of two decades.

But within some oil companies, the fight is far from over, said John Hanger, a former top environmental official in Pennsylvania who has been critical of some environmentalist claims about fracking’s danger.

“The oil industry is diverse, but there are some really reactionary, dinosaur-like parts of the industry,” he said. “I doubt Shell or BP wants to be anywhere near that campaign” against Patagonia.

 

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2018 ITG Comedy and Climate Change Short Video Competition

Inside the Greenhouse comedy & climate change short video competition

1st place: $400 prize
2nd place: $250
3rd place: $100

Competition Details

Humor is a tool underutilized in the area of climate change; yet comedy has power to effectively connect people, information, ideas, and new ways of thinking/acting.

In this 3rd annual competition, we seek to harness the powers of climate comedy through compelling, resonant and meaningful VIDEOS – up to 3 minutes in length – to meet people where they are, and open them up to new and creative engagement.

Award Criteria

Successful entries will have found the funny while relating to climate change issues. Each entry will be reviewed by a committee composed of students, staff and faculty at CU-Boulder.

Application Requirements

#1. 1-2 page pdf description of entry, including

– title of creative work,
– names and affiliations of all authors/contributors,
– contact information of person submitting the entry,
– a statement of permissions for use of content, as necessary, and
– a 100-word description of the work.

#2. A link to the up-to-3-minute composition, posted on Youtube or Vimeo or the like

Eligibility

Must be a citizen of Planet Earth; work created since January 2017 is accepted; works must be less than 3 minutes in length, captured through video; CU-Boulder employees are not eligible.

Submission Deadline

April 15: entries due to itgcomedy@colorado.edu
April 30: applicants informed of decisions

Contacts

Max Boykoff, Associate Professor
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Studies (CIRES) Center for Science and Technology Policy Research (CSTPR)
Environmental Studies Program
University of Colorado Boulder
boykoff@colorado.edu

Beth Osnes, Associate Professor
Department of Theater and Dance
University of Colorado Boulder
beth.osnes@colorado.edu

Rebecca Safran, Associate Professor
Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Department
University of Colorado Boulder
rebecca.safran@colorado.edu

This initiative is part of the Inside the Greenhouse project at CU-Boulder. This project acknowledges that, to varying degrees, we are all implicated in, part of, and responsible for greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere. We treat this ‘greenhouse’ as a living laboratory, an intentional place for growing new ideas and evaluating possibilities to confront climate change through a range of mitigation and adaptation strategies.

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Climate Change Emojis Could Help Save the Planet

ScienceLine
March 26, 2018

Have you ever felt like a plastic bag, drifting through the wind, wanting to explain to those who threw you away how detrimental you are to the environment? Well, even if you’ve never had that specific urge, it’s a feeling you can now express, like this:

This smiling, slightly passive aggressive plastic bag is a member of a new set of emojis — dubbed Climojis — that highlight the dangers and consequences of climate change. Spearheaded by a teacher in New York University’s Tisch School of the Arts and one of her former students, the Climoji Sticker Pack allows you to express anything from your disgust at plastic waste harming ocean life to generally feeling like a trash bag.

Their creators hope Climojis will help spark everyday conversations about climate change that many people would rather ignore. “At this point, it just seems like climate change is not a part of our daily discourse. It seems like it’s being avoided because it’s a distressing topic,” says Viniyata Pany, a recent graduate of NYU’s Interactive Telecommunications Program who developed the Climojis in collaboration with artist and teacher Marina Zurkow. “With the emojis, we were trying to change that.”

Their project is part of the much bigger trend of emoji creation, which all sorts of marketers and activists are chasing online. And out of the 2.3 billion people who use the Internet worldwide, as many as 92 percent  regularly send emojis.

But while emojis may have speedily hijacked the way we communicate online, they are not a new language. Instead, they’re clarifying our emotions. Your smiles, voice inflections and sly winks all disappear when you’re communicating on a screen, making it easy to misconstrue meaning in messages. Emojis fill in the void, revamping and illuminating text.

Climojis are the next line of petite pictures to enter this void. Launched in October through an NYU group called Sustainable ITP, the 27 colorful emojis have already been downloaded by more than 8,000 people.

Their early success might seem surprising, since the climate change conversation in the United States is often divisive, alienating and almost completely devoid of humor. About 69 percent of Americans believe the earth is warming; but only 33 percent ever discuss the issue and just 25 percent say they hear about it weekly in the media, according to the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication. That gap is exactly what Pany and Zurkow set out to shrink. “I’m most interested in finding new, effective approaches to issues of climate chaos and disarming the polarizing conversation,” says Zurkow.

Some of the images are quite dark by emoji standards – a sad penguin or colorless rainbow are a far cry from the dancer emoji. Climate change communication already has a history of attempting to scare the world green with pictures of starving polar bears and a planet doomed to fail. A series of recent studies have suggested that these scary images run the risk of backfiring by deterring people from conversation and action to curb climate change. But Pany hopes that the cartoon-ish horror of the emojis will make people sit up and notice instead of disengaging. “It sort of shakes you a little bit,” she says.

And for every Climoji that frightens you, there’s one that almost makes you giggle — like the trash bag crushing a house or the cow – ahem – excreting methane. You don’t have to feel bad for laughing or sending a Climoji out of context; Pany says it’s fine to send the drowning emoji when complaining about all the work you have to finish. That’s how climate change could slide into the conversation.

Humor as a vehicle for dialogue is currently trending in the United States. Late-night comedians like John Oliver and Steven Colbert are pros when it comes to breaching difficult climate conversations with humor, and recent studies actually support the comedic approach.

It’s a fresh, exciting way to rope people in, says Max Boykoff, who studies climate communication at the University of Colorado, Boulder. When fear doesn’t work to bridge the divide, he says, humor might do the trick. “What they’re doing is innovative and positive towards engagement efforts,” Boykoff adds.

And while even comedy can be divisive, a Climoji keeps the conversation relatively light, despite opposing views, says Vyvyan Evans, a linguist based in the United Kingdom and author of the book The Emoji Code. “It’s very difficult to offend someone using emojis,” he explains. “Because they’re cartoon images, it’s really hard to piss someone off.”

There are still risks, however. Casually throwing, say, a fire faucet into a conversation could trivialize the serious issues, says Boykoff. It could distract instead of enlighten. We’ve already seen this diversion play out in the political arena, where memes and jokes have taken over the conversation but compromise and reform remain stagnant.

“There’s a possibility always where you take something serious and trivialize it,” says Boykoff. “But overall, I think it’s worth the risk.”

Without time and a little research, it’s unclear whether Climoji will change the conversation, says Brigitte Nerlich, an emeritus professor of science, language, and society at the University of Nottingham in the UK. If Climojis do become mainstream, it wouldn’t be the first time an emoji sparked conversation or even controversy. There was a diverse discourse in 2015 when the Apple update introduced the option of changing an emoji’s skin tone. The following year, Apple sparked plenty of online discussion when they banned the hand gun emoji in favor of a lime green squirt gun.

Still, no one thinks the Climojis will work wonders all by themselves. “It’s adding to the conversation,” explains Pany. “They’re humorous invitations to a difficult dialogue.”

But 8,000 Climoji users in five months is, like the cow emoji, nothing to sniff at. The creators want to expand to 10,000 or 15,000 and then try to get picked up by Facebook or even Unicode, allowing anyone with an emoji keyboard direct access without having to download a separate app. The group is also working on a second batch of Climojis, with themes of climate justice and renewable energy, to be released this summer. Pany promises they’ll be more green (and alive) than the current batch.

So, the next time you feel like a trash bag, go ahead: express yourself by pasting a smiling plastic bag floating in the wind into a group chat. You might just get an Earth-changing conversation out of it.

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Matthew Druckenmiller: A Career-Long Collaborator

Matt Druckenmiller, right, and Hajo Eicken, a professor of Geophysics, on an ice floe near Barrow. Photo by Daniel Pringle.

by Alison Gilchrist, CSTPR Science Writing Intern

Matthew Druckenmiller, a current research affiliate with the Center for Science and Technology Policy Research (CSTPR), understands the value of community collaborations. Throughout his career, he’s made it a priority to connect with communities in the areas he’s worked in.

Originally from Pennsylvania, Druckenmiller moved to Alaska to get his PhD from the University of Alaska Fairbanks. A biophysicist interested in sea ice, he worked closely with the Alaskan North Slope borough—the largest county in the country. He was interested in combining sea ice research and marine biology, an interest that benefited from a close working relationship with native communities in the North Slope borough.

During his PhD, Druckenmiller designed coastal observatories around native communities. For example, Druckenmiller built up an observatory in the Alaskan city of Barrow designed to observe sea ice. The Barrow observatory helped him observe how arctic sea ice affects feeding success and body condition of bowhead whales.

“The Barrow sea ice observatory had a number of different components,” said Druckenmiller. “One might fit your definition of an observatory: the tallest building in the village (about three or four stories) had a coastal radar on it. That would be the same kind of radar that a ship would have, and we used it to observe sea ice moving in and out along the coast.”

In fact, Druckenmiller used several methods to study the changing arctic ice, including installing instruments directly into the ice as well as working with local hunters to keep diaries of ice conditions. He was even able to venture out onto the ice regularly by sled.

“In Barrow, during the Spring, they still maintain traditional Bowhead Whale hunts,” explained Druckenmiller. “They glide onto the shore-fast ice, the ice that freezes close to shore. I had an instrument that I installed in a long sled, that I would pull or drag by snow-machine across these trails to survey the ice along the trails that the communities were using.”

The instrument that Druckenmiller used collected trail data and measured the ice thickness distribution. The goal was to record areas of the ice that were very thin or very thick. This was useful data for Druckenmiller’s research but was also incredibly useful for the community in Barrow. Druckenmiller and his group were able to make maps of this ice for the people who directly benefit from that information in the short-term. For whaling communities in Barrow, for example, it’s important to know where ice is dangerously thin.

After Druckenmiller left Alaska, he spent two years in Boulder at the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). He then worked for two years in Washington, D.C. as a AAAS Science Policy Fellow, with the United States Agency for International Development. Finally, he moved back to Boulder to take a research scientist position at NSIDC.

Currently, Druckenmiller is a coordinator of the Sea Ice Action Network within the Study of Environmental Arctic Change (SEARCH). This study is a collaboration between Arctic researchers, funding agencies, and stakeholders and aims to study the implications of a changing arctic.

“I’m working with a team of researchers focusing on arctic sea ice,” said Druckenmiller. “A lot of what I do is not basic research, but more synthesizing existing research into sources that are accessible to other researchers and accessible to the public.”

Druckenmiller explained that SEARCH will be a valuable tool for science communicators to use when studying and writing about climate change.

“We’re trying to position this organization to be an easy organization for journalists to go to when writing stories.”

As well as coordinating this initiative to make climate science more accessible, Druckenmiller continues to collaborate with the scientists working in Barrow. Throughout his career, he has focused on the types of research partnerships that scientists make with communities and formed long-lasting and effective collaborations. At the National Snow and Ice Data Center and in collaboration with CSTPR, he is well poised to continue these important initiatives.

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Learning to Expect Surprise: Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, Maria, and Beyond

by Lisa Dilling, Rebecca Morss, and Olga Wilhelmi

Journal of Extreme Events (2018)
Vol. 4, No. 3

Extreme events often bring unexpected situations and impacts, as the sequence of hurricanes and other natural disasters in summer and fall 2017 demonstrated. To reduce the risks associated with such events, many have focused on reducing uncertainty in prediction or reducing vulnerability. Although both are worthy goals, we suggest that the research community should also be focusing on the nature of surprise itself, to investigate the role of surprise in extreme events and its implications. Surprise arises when reality differs from people’s expectations. Multiple factors contribute to creating surprise, including the dynamic nature of natural and human systems, the limitations of scientific knowledge and prediction, and the ways that people interpret and manage risks, not to mention climate variability and change. We argue that surprise is an unavoidable component of weather and climate disasters — one that we must acknowledge, learn to anticipate, and incorporate into risk assessment and management efforts. In sum, although it may seem paradoxical, we should be learning how to expect surprise. Read more …

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RIO Seed Grant Awarded to Katie Chambers and Sherri Cook

CSTPR graduate student and Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre intern, Katie Chambers, and CU Environmental Engineering’s Sherri Cook were awarded the 2018 Research & Innovation (RIO) Seed Grant for their project “Resilient and Sustainable Sanitation Systems: Characteristics, Links, and Barriers”.

Resilient and Sustainable Sanitation Systems: Characteristics, Links, and Barriers
PI Sherri Cook, with these collaborators: CSTPR Director Max Boykoff, CSTPR Affiliate Amanda Carrico, Dr. Trisha Shrum

Globally, 2.3 billion people lack access to basic sanitation services, which results in serious negative impacts to human health, economic prosperity, and gender equality. Exacerbating this issue is that existing sanitation systems experience high failure rates, mostly due to (i) systems that are not sustainable, such as systems with single or integrated failures in the social, technical, economic, or institutional aspects; and (ii) systems that are not resilient, such as systems that are destroyed by natural disasters. While there is growing research linking together the various dimensions of sanitation system sustainability, literature has called for more research to better understand characteristics of system resilience to plan for and adapt to climate change. The seed grant will provide funding to evaluate the social, economic, and technical characteristics of resilient sanitation systems and to integrate this work with existing sustainability research to develop strategies and recommendations to increase access to and long-term performance of sanitation systems.

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